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Marc-Andre Barriault v Kyle Daukaus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marc-Andre Barriault (Local)
Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.40%36.01%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.652.7041.67%38.17%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyle Daukaus (Visit)
Prediction 63.78%1.57fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.60%63.99%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.481.5573.53%67.44%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marc-Andre Barriault (Local): 36.22%; Kyle Daukaus (Visit): 63.78%. For Kyle Daukaus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.22%E -0.821%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.22%E -0.821%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -2.58%E -0.958%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.94%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 12:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.69%E -2.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 05:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.69%E -2.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.11%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -5.48%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -1.14%E -0.733%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.14%E -0.733%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-16 04:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 05:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -6.56%E -2.54%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.77%E -1.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.01%E -3.15%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.77%E -1.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.41%E -1.58%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.46%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.17%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.25%E -9.75%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | -0.1% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 14:55 |