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Mandel Nallo v Nate Landwehr
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mandel Nallo (Local)
Prediction 71.01%1.41fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.00%70.96%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.341.351.3780.00%74.77%74.07%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nate Landwehr (Visit)
Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.00%29.04%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.203.4034.72%30.90%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mandel Nallo (Local): 71.01%; Nate Landwehr (Visit): 28.99%. For Nate Landwehr (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -2.72%E -1.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -2.72%E -1.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.72%E -1.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -6.65%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 07:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.72%E -1.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.17%E -0.948%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 06:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 22:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.98%E -5.33%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.69%E -5.92%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.69%E -5.92%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.69%E -5.92%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -8.40%E -6.51%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.29%EV -5.20%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 23:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -9.11%E -7.12%K -32.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.24%E -8.99%K -44.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -16.50%E -5.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-13 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-10-18 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-10-18 00:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.21% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 20:00 |