Language:English
Mandel Nallo v Jai Herbert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mandel Nallo (Local)
Prediction 60.52%1.65fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.72%60.45%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.66%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jai Herbert (Visit)
Prediction 39.48%2.53fair odd
EV +0.664%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.428%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.28%39.55%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.422.5544.44%41.30%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mandel Nallo (Local): 60.52%; Jai Herbert (Visit): 39.48%. For Jai Herbert (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.664%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.79%E -4.41%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.664%E +0.260%K +0.428%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.664%E +0.260%K +0.428%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.664%E +0.260%K +0.428%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.10%E -0.846%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.58%E -3.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.28%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.37%E -2.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.68%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.47%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.47%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 12:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.56%E -1.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.16%E -1.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.77%E -2.37%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.37%E -2.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.37%E -2.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.37%E -2.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.56%E -1.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -8.02%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 01:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47% | 0.1% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 17:30 |