The School of OddsMagomed Tuchalov v Brendson Ribeiro
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Magomed Tuchalov (Local)
Prediction 81.29%1.23fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -22.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.10%81.34%81.27%82.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1888%86%85%85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Brendson Ribeiro (Visit)
Prediction 18.71%5.34fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.649%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.66%18.73%19.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.125.205.5021%20%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.92%E +0.531%K +0.649%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -0.821%E -0.155%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.76%E -0.335%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.76%E -0.335%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.518%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.08%E -3.46%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -9.24%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 02:19 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -9.24%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -9.24%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.08%E -3.46%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 04:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.62% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |