The School of Odds

Magomed Ankalaev v Khalil Rountree

2026-07-25 16:00 — MMA

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (12 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Magomed Ankalaev (Local)

1.2580.00%Min
1.3077.02%Mean
1.3076.92%Median
1.3375.19%Max
70.93%1.410Min
73.92%1.353Max
72.57%1.378Mean
72.69%1.376Median
72.68%1.376IQM
72.69%1.376Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.33 under the IQM model: 72.68%

EV -3.34%Edge -2.51%Kelly -10.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Khalil Rountree (Visit)

3.0532.79%Min
3.4229.24%Mean
3.4528.99%Median
3.6027.78%Max
26.08%3.835Min
29.07%3.440Max
27.43%3.646Mean
27.31%3.662Median
27.32%3.660IQM
27.31%3.662Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.32%

EV -1.64%Edge -0.456%Kelly -0.632%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMagomed Ankalaev (Local) ▼Khalil Rountree (Visit)MarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -3.34% E -2.51% K -10.11% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -11.20% E -3.45% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.96%EV -3.34% E -2.51% K -10.11% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.04%EV -11.20% E -3.45% K -4.98% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76% NM 73.17%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.83%EV -1.64% E -0.456% K -0.632% G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-03 02:49
Coolbet1.32I 75.76% NM 73.17%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.83%EV -1.64% E -0.456% K -0.632% G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS1.32I 75.76% NM 72.84%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 27.16%EV -3.28% E -0.927% K -1.29% G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 19:39
DraftKings1.32I 75.76% NM 72.61%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.39%EV -4.37% E -1.25% K -1.75% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 13:30
TAB1.32I 75.76% NM 72.03%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -7.11% E -2.09% K -2.96% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 23:19
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:40
betPARX1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 11:59
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 12:00
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -4.06% E -3.08% K -12.70% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34% NM 72.77%EV -4.79% E -3.66% K -15.46% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.23%EV -4.37% E -1.25% K -1.75% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34% NM 72.19%EV -4.79% E -3.66% K -15.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -7.11% E -2.09% K -2.96% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 15:00
Caesars1.31I 76.34% NM 71.58%EV -4.79% E -3.66% K -15.46% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.42%EV -9.84% E -2.98% K -4.28% G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 01:09
Betway1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -4.37% E -1.25% K -1.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 11:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92% NM 72.63%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.37%EV -5.74% E -1.66% K -2.34% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 23:29
SportsBet1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -7.11% E -2.09% K -2.96% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 13:59
FanDuel1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -7.11% E -2.09% K -2.96% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 13:59
888sport1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -7.11% E -2.09% K -2.96% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92% NM 72.04%EV -5.52% E -4.24% K -18.39% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.96%EV -8.47% E -2.53% K -3.61% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 23:20
NordicBet1.27I 78.74% NM 73.92%EV -7.70% E -6.06% K -28.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.08%EV -1.64% E -0.456% K -0.632% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 03:30
Betsson1.27I 78.74% NM 73.92%EV -7.70% E -6.06% K -28.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.08%EV -1.64% E -0.456% K -0.632% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 10:00
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74% NM 73.09%EV -7.70% E -6.06% K -28.51% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.91%EV -5.74% E -1.66% K -2.34% G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37% NM 71.10%EV -8.43% E -6.69% K -32.41% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.90%EV -15.30% E -4.94% K -7.29% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-19 04:20
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00% NM 70.93%EV -9.15% E -7.32% K -36.61% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.07%EV -16.67% E -5.47% K -8.13% G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-16 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerMagomed Ankalaev (Local)Khalil Rountree (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%3.39I 29.50%29.5%2026-06-28 14:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.34I 74.63%3.43I 29.15%33.00I 3.03%6.8%2026-07-04 06:10