The School of OddsMagomed Ankalaev v Bogdan Guskov
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Magomed Ankalaev (Local)
Prediction 79.13%1.26fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -15.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.10%78.93%79.13%79.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2287%85%85%82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Bogdan Guskov (Visit)
Prediction 20.87%4.79fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%21.07%20.87%21.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.444.504.6024%23%22%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.46%E -2.84%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.01%E -0.871%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 20:25 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.09%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.09%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.42%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.09%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -14.44%E -3.52%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-15 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.45% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 22.85% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.71% | 11.9% | 2026-07-15 21:05 |