Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mackenzie Stiller v Katlyn Chookagian

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 22:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mackenzie Stiller (Local)

Prediction 31.81%3.14fair odd

EV +2.44%

Edge +0.757%

Kelly +1.10%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.85%31.67%32.05%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.993.013.2236.36%33.41%33.22%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katlyn Chookagian (Visit)

Prediction 68.19%1.47fair odd

EV -1.81%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -4.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.63%68.33%67.95%70.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.391.381.4478.13%71.98%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mackenzie Stiller (Local): 31.81%; Katlyn Chookagian (Visit): 68.19%. For Mackenzie Stiller (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +2.44%E +0.757%K +1.10%G +0.027%	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -6.58%E -4.81%K -17.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-14 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-17 21:50
Betway🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-14 13:50
Bovada🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-17 22:13
NordicBet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-17 22:00
FanDuel🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-17 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
BetRivers🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
Unibet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
TABtouch🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
Bally Bet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:50
betPARX🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 21:49
Pinnacle🎯	3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-10-17 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.01I 33.22%NM 32.05%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.95%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-10-17 22:20
Caesars🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-17 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-17 12:25
Betsson🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-17 22:00
BetUS🎯	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-17 22:20
ReBet🎯	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-17 22:20
DraftKings🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-17 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 18:55
Bet Right🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-17 22:00
Paddy Power🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-17 14:00
Sky Bet🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-17 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-17 14:05
BetAnything🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.81%E -1.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-17 21:45
Grosvenor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.76%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 68.24%EV -12.72%E -9.94%K -45.43%G +0.000%	14.5%	2026-10-17 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	3.16I 31.65%NM 31.60%	1.46I 68.49%NM 68.40%	0.1%	2026-10-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%	0.2%	2026-10-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%	0.2%	2026-10-17 22:20
Novig◎	3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%	0.5%	2026-10-17 22:20
Kalshi◎	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%	1.0%	2026-10-17 22:00
Polymarket◎	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%	1.0%	2026-10-17 22:10
Matchbook◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%	1.2%	2026-10-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	1.2%	2026-10-17 21:55
ProphetX◎	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%	4.2%	2026-10-17 22:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 30.45%	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.13%	38.00I 2.63%NM 2.42%	8.7%	2026-10-17 22:05