Language:English
Mackenzie Dern v Gillian Robertson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mackenzie Dern (Local)
Prediction 66.05%1.51fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.94%66.07%65.89%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.4871.43%69.18%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillian Robertson (Visit)
Prediction 33.95%2.95fair odd
EV +3.56%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.93%34.11%37.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.762.753.0540.32%36.18%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mackenzie Dern (Local): 66.05%; Gillian Robertson (Visit): 33.95%. For Gillian Robertson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.56%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +3.56%E +1.17%K +1.74%G +0.062% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +3.56%E +1.17%K +1.74%G +0.062% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV +2.88%E +0.950%K +1.42%G +0.041% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 02:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.162%E +0.055%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 02:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.54%E -0.530%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 02:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.54%E -0.530%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.22%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.55%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 02:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 02:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 18:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 01:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -15.12%E -6.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.94%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -15.80%E -6.37%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 02:44 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.72% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:49 |