The School of Odds

Maciej Rozanski v Ibragim Chuzhigaev

2026-07-18 12:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Maciej Rozanski (Local)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%37.50%37.50%37.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.502.502.5040%40%40%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ibragim Chuzhigaev (Visit)

Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -4.17%
Kelly -12.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%62.50%62.50%62.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.501.501.5067%67%67%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.