Language:English
L'udovit Klein v Tofiq Musayev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
L'udovit Klein (Local)
Prediction 69.38%1.44fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%69.44%69.23%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.67%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tofiq Musayev (Visit)
Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV -0.482%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.56%30.77%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.053.2535.71%32.51%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: L'udovit Klein (Local): 69.38%; Tofiq Musayev (Visit): 30.62%. For Tofiq Musayev (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.482%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.48%E -1.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 08:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.87%E -2.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.54%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.87%E -2.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.87%E -2.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.56%E -2.56%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.46%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.56%E -2.56%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.56%E -2.56%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.56%E -2.56%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -9.06%E -3.05%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.54%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.54%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:03 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.26%E -3.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 10:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.95%E -3.61%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -1.40%E -0.435%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.95%E -3.61%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.95%E -3.61%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 14:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.482%E -0.148%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.482%E -0.148%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.482%E -0.148%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 13:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.01%E -0.629%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.54%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 12:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.64%E -4.15%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.34%E -4.69%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.54%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46% | -0.2% | 2026-08-01 15:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-08-01 16:32 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 16:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.17% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.99% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 16:29 |
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