The School of Odds

L'udovit Klein v Tofiq Musayev

2026-08-01 22:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

L'udovit Klein (Local)

Prediction 63.81%1.57fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.81%63.81%63.81%63.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.521.521.5266%66%66%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tofiq Musayev (Visit)

Prediction 36.19%2.76fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.19%36.19%36.19%36.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.682.682.682.6837%37%37%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.01%E -1.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.01%E -1.12%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-24 00:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%3.9%2026-07-24 07:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.78%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84%6.9%2026-07-24 01:15