The School of Odds

Lucas Faria v Elias Rodriguez

2026-07-25 01:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lucas Faria (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -9.09%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%0.00%0.00%8.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
11.0011.0011.0011.009%9%9%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Elias Rodriguez (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -96.15%
Kelly -2500.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.36%0.00%0.00%91.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.041.041.041.0496%96%96%96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%5.2%2026-07-24 10:05
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%5.2%2026-07-24 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.