Language:English
Lucas Armand v Anthony Wint
Head to Head
Lucas Armand (Local)
Prediction 20.39%4.91fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +0.968%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 5.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%20.67%20.00%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.394.355.1525.97%22.79%22.99%19.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anthony Wint (Visit)
Prediction 79.61%1.26fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%79.33%80.00%81.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.201.211.2489.29%83.25%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lucas Armand (Local): 20.39%; Anthony Wint (Visit): 79.61%. For Lucas Armand (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.15, producing a positive expected value of +4.99%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +4.99%E +0.968%K +1.20%G +0.060% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -6.06%E -5.13%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV +1.32%E +0.265%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -5.26%E -4.42%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.110%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.26%E -4.42%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -1.13%E -0.233%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.85%E -5.86%K -40.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -1.13%E -0.233%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -7.65%E -6.59%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.15%E -0.448%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.46%E -3.72%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 16:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.23%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.46%E -3.72%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -12.34%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.87%E -2.35%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -17.44%E -4.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -3.67%E -3.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.46%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.28%E -1.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.46%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.28%E -1.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.46%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.46%E -3.72%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.46%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.46%E -3.72%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.46%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.46%E -3.72%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -21.51%E -5.59%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.46%EV -10.83%E -9.67%K -90.27%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.87% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.13% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.56% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |