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Lone'er Kavanagh v Ramazonbek Temirov

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 19:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lone'er Kavanagh (Local)

Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV +9.11%
Edge +4.24%
Kelly +7.93%
Growth +0.722%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%50.37%50.83%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.881.872.1558.48%53.30%53.48%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ramazonbek Temirov (Visit)

Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.63%49.17%55.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.911.932.0058.48%52.44%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lone'er Kavanagh (Local): 50.75%; Ramazonbek Temirov (Visit): 49.25%. For Lone'er Kavanagh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.11%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +9.11%E +4.24%K +7.93%G +0.722%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 19:11
Betsson🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV +7.08%E +3.36%K +6.38%G +0.452%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -15.78%E -9.23%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 19:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -1.54%E -0.796%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.90%E -4.23%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 12:35
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.56%E -1.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.99%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-24 19:00
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 18:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:01
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 19:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.92%E -3.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 13:05
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:05
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 15:06
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.13%E -3.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.50%E -0.751%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 19:03
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.13%E -3.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.93%E -3.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.50%E -0.751%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.43%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.66%E -5.43%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.38%E -5.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -11.19%E -6.39%K -14.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -6.92%E -3.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 19:14
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.86%EV -13.22%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.14%EV -12.83%E -7.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-22 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-10-24 19:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-10-24 19:15
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-10-24 19:15
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-10-24 19:11
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-24 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-24 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-10-24 19:15
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-10-24 19:11
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%2.6%2026-10-24 19:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.85%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86%7.4%2026-10-24 17:50