Language:English
Levi Rodrigues v Liu Ce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Levi Rodrigues (Local)
Prediction 39.45%2.54fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.39%39.17%39.55%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6443.48%41.07%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liu Ce (Visit)
Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.83%60.45%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.561.561.6168.49%64.06%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levi Rodrigues (Local): 39.45%; Liu Ce (Visit): 60.55%. For Levi Rodrigues (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.14%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV +4.14%E +1.57%K +2.52%G +0.105% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -8.56%E -5.67%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.56%E +0.985%K +1.60%G +0.041% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.17%E -6.11%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.199%E -0.079%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.38%E -0.553%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.35%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.38%E -0.553%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.96%E -5.24%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 06:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -1.38%E -0.553%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -11.59%E -7.94%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 10:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.51%E -1.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 23:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.54%E -1.88%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 04:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.54%E -1.88%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 04:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.51%E -1.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 10:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.72%E -2.34%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 04:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -8.09%E -3.47%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.75%E -4.38%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.99%E -7.47%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 10:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.42% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |