Language:English
Levan Chokheli v Leon Shahbazyan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Levan Chokheli (Local)
Prediction 75.73%1.32fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +4.35%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%75.42%75.90%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3483.33%79.16%79.37%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leon Shahbazyan (Visit)
Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV +9.21%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.242%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%24.58%24.10%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.803.804.5032.79%26.31%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levan Chokheli (Local): 75.73%; Leon Shahbazyan (Visit): 24.27%. For Leon Shahbazyan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.21%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.21%E +2.05%K +2.63%G +0.242% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.21%E +2.05%K +2.63%G +0.242% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV +8.72%E +1.95%K +2.51%G +0.219% | 3.0% | 2026-06-20 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.35%E +1.01%K +1.32%G +0.057% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.61%E -6.24%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.501%E -0.122%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.82%E -3.01%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -1.71%E -0.423%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.34%E -4.27%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -1.71%E -0.423%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.34%E -4.27%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -1.71%E -0.423%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.01%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.01%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.34%E -4.27%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.34%E -4.27%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.14%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.01%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.82%E -3.01%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -5.84%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 22:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.31%E -1.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.58%E -3.63%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-20 22:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-20 22:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.31%E -1.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 21:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.31%E -1.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.31%E -1.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV +1.48%E +1.10%K +4.35%G +0.064% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -22.34%E -6.98%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 22:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -0.034%E -0.026%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -22.34%E -6.98%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -0.034%E -0.026%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -0.034%E -0.026%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -24.77%E -7.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -1.55%E -1.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -25.98%E -8.52%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.14% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.86% | 0.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-20 22:08 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 22:06 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 22:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 83.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.01% | 17.9% | 2026-06-20 22:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 62.12% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 37.88% | 61.0% | 2026-06-20 22:07 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.52% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |