The School of Odds
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Leo Brichta v Kacper Formela

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Final: Leo Brichta 0–1 Kacper Formela

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Leo Brichta (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -54.64%
Kelly -120.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%0.00%0.00%52.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.801.791.8355.87%55.45%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kacper Formela (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -49.26%
Kelly -97.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.41%0.00%0.00%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.971.942.0351.81%50.85%51.55%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leo Brichta (Local): 0.00%; Kacper Formela (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%3.9%2026-09-19 15:06
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%7.4%2026-09-17 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%7.7%2026-09-17 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.