Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leo Brichta v Kacper Formela

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leo Brichta (Local)

Prediction 50.95%1.96fair odd

EV -5.74%

Edge -3.10%

Kelly -6.75%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.95%50.95%50.95%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.831.831.8555.56%54.79%54.79%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kacper Formela (Visit)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd

EV -5.34%

Edge -2.77%

Kelly -5.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.94%49.05%49.05%49.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.871.901.901.9353.48%52.63%52.63%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leo Brichta (Local): 50.95%; Kacper Formela (Visit): 49.05%. For Kacper Formela (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.93, with an expected value of -5.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.74%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-16 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-16 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.