Language:English
Kyler Phillips v Charles Jourdain
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyler Phillips (Local)
Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.541%
Kelly +0.957%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.84%44.15%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.66%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Charles Jourdain (Visit)
Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.16%55.85%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.681.681.7560.98%59.39%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyler Phillips (Local): 44.02%; Charles Jourdain (Visit): 55.98%. For Kyler Phillips (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.24%E +0.541%K +0.957%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 01:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.516%E -0.229%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.957%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.84%E -0.824%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 12:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 12:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -8.00%E -3.83%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.44%E -4.06%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | -0.0% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.35% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:45 |