Language:English
Kurtis Campbell v Trevor Peek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kurtis Campbell (Local)
Prediction 76.30%1.31fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.19%76.33%76.19%77.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.241.251.2886.21%80.33%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Trevor Peek (Visit)
Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.714%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.44%23.67%23.81%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.974.004.3228.57%25.22%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kurtis Campbell (Local): 76.30%; Trevor Peek (Visit): 23.70%. For Trevor Peek (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%EV +2.37%E +0.549%K +0.714%G +0.017% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.15%E -5.00%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.66%E -0.400%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 12:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.84%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.84%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.84%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.84%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.84%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -3.08%E -0.753%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.33%E -1.82%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.38%E -4.34%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.91%E -5.66%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.91%E -5.66%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.09%E -2.44%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.62%E -3.70%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.11%EV -11.49%E -9.90%K -71.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.89% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.26% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 08:40 |