Language:English
Kurtis Campbell v Danny Silva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kurtis Campbell (Local)
Prediction 71.20%1.40fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.793%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%70.90%71.27%73.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.4076.92%74.49%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Danny Silva (Visit)
Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV +5.69%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.16%29.10%28.73%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.273.303.6735.46%30.54%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kurtis Campbell (Local): 71.20%; Danny Silva (Visit): 28.80%. For Danny Silva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.69%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +5.69%E +1.55%K +2.13%G +0.121% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.23%E +0.629%K +0.876%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV +1.94%E +0.549%K +0.766%G +0.015% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV +1.94%E +0.549%K +0.766%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.793%E +0.227%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.13%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.793%E +0.227%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 17:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.01%E -4.56%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.01%E -4.56%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.01%E -4.56%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.09%E -0.614%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.53%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.53%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.97%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.59%E -3.42%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.83%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.88%E -2.87%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -1.74%E -1.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -1.74%E -1.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.88%E -2.87%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.01%E -4.56%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.317%E -0.227%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.30%E -3.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.317%E -0.227%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -16.49%E -5.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.317%E -0.227%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -16.49%E -5.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -18.79%E -6.66%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 20:02 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02% | -0.0% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.64% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.36% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.34% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.79% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |