The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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King Green v Terrance Mckinney

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 01:25 UTC

Final: King Green 1–0 Terrance Mckinney

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

King Green (Local)

Prediction 51.35%1.95fair odd
EV +0.135%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.14%51.62%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.831.9556.82%54.28%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Terrance Mckinney (Visit)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.86%48.38%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.962.0253.48%51.18%51.02%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: King Green (Local): 51.35%; Terrance Mckinney (Visit): 48.65%. For King Green (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.947. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.135%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.135%E +0.069%K +0.142%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.378%E -0.195%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:19
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 01:19
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.22%E -1.10%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:19
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:19
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 01:19
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 01:20
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 01:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:19
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.22%E -1.10%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 01:19
PlayUp🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 01:19
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 01:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 01:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.62%E -5.47%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 01:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-12 01:14
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-12 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-12 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-12 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-12 01:19
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-12 01:19
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-07-12 01:20
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-07-12 01:14

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86%7.5%2026-07-12 01:12

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