King Green v Terrance Mckinney

2026-07-12 01:15 — MMA

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: King Green (Local)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.2344.76%Mean

2.2544.44%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.70%2.519Min

44.14%2.265Max

42.70%2.342Mean

43.15%2.317Median

42.93%2.329IQM

42.62%2.347Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 42.93%

EV +3.04%Edge +1.27%Kelly +2.17%Growth +0.066%

Option 2: Terrance Mckinney (Visit)

Odds

1.5863.29%Min

1.6560.74%Mean

1.6460.98%Median

1.7158.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.86%1.790Min

60.30%1.658Max

57.30%1.745Mean

56.85%1.759Median

57.07%1.752IQM

57.38%1.743Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 57.07%

EV -2.42%Edge -1.41%Kelly -3.41%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	King Green (Local) ▼	Terrance Mckinney (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV +3.04% E +1.27% K +2.17% G +0.066%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -9.84% E -6.23% K -16.96% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 22:10
Coolbet	2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV +0.897% E +0.382% K +0.664% G +0.006%	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -5.84% E -3.54% K -8.99% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-29 13:40
BetMGM	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV +0.897% E +0.382% K +0.664% G +0.006%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -9.27% E -5.83% K -15.71% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 22:10
Bovada	2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -1.25% E -0.544% K -0.962% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -4.70% E -2.81% K -7.02% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-05 11:43
SportsBet	2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -2.11% E -0.925% K -1.65% G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -6.98% E -4.28% K -11.09% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 01:19
Pinnacle	2.26I 44.25% NM 42.64%EV -2.97% E -1.31% K -2.36% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 57.36%EV -4.13% E -2.46% K -6.07% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-05 00:50
FanDuel	2.26I 44.25% NM 41.75%EV -2.97% E -1.31% K -2.36% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.25%EV -7.55% E -4.66% K -12.18% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 16:10
Hard Rock Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.84% E -3.54% K -8.99% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-29 19:30
Virgin Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
LiveScore Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
TABtouch	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:49
Grosvenor	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
betPARX	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:48
ATG (SE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
Bally Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:49
Paddy Power	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -7.55% E -4.66% K -12.18% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -3.40% E -1.51% K -2.72% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -7.55% E -4.66% K -12.18% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 11:09
DraftKings	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -3.83% E -1.71% K -3.09% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -4.13% E -2.46% K -6.07% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 00:50
BetOnline.ag	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -2.42% E -1.41% K -3.41% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 11:43
BetAnything	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.70% E -2.81% K -7.02% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 12:10
888sport	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.70% E -2.81% K -7.02% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 11:45
PointsBet (AU)	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.70% E -2.81% K -7.02% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 00:54
Betr (AU)	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -5.27% E -3.18% K -7.99% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 11:44
PlayUp	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.54% E -2.52% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -5.84% E -3.54% K -8.99% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-05 12:44
Bet Right	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -6.40% E -2.94% K -5.43% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -4.13% E -2.46% K -6.07% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 00:55
Unibet (UK)	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -7.69% E -3.58% K -6.69% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -4.70% E -2.81% K -7.02% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 11:40
Betclic (FR)	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.27%EV -7.69% E -3.58% K -6.69% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 56.73%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-05 12:23
Winamax (FR)	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.85%EV -9.84% E -4.68% K -8.94% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 56.15%EV -6.41% E -3.91% K -10.02% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-05 11:40
Unibet (FR)	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.14%EV -11.98% E -5.85% K -11.41% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.86%EV -7.55% E -4.66% K -12.18% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-05 11:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	King Green (Local)	Terrance Mckinney (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	2.33I 42.92%	1.72I 58.14%	1.1%	2026-06-30 13:49
Polymarket	2.38I 42.02%	1.69I 59.17%	1.2%	2026-07-05 11:50
Novig	2.17I 46.08%	1.69I 59.17%	5.3%	2026-07-05 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.24I 44.64%	1.64I 60.98%	5.6%	2026-07-05 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.24I 44.64%	1.64I 60.98%	5.6%	2026-07-05 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.24I 44.64%	1.64I 60.98%	5.6%	2026-07-05 09:30
ProphetX	2.20I 45.45%	1.65I 60.61%	6.1%	2026-07-05 00:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	2.33I 42.92%	1.58I 63.29%	50.00I 2.00%	8.2%	2026-07-04 12:09