Khamzat Chimaev v Sean Strickland

2027-01-01 03:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Khamzat Chimaev (Local)

Odds

1.4967.11%Min

1.4967.11%Mean

1.4967.11%Median

1.4967.11%Max

Consensus probabilities

64.86%1.542Min

64.86%1.542Max

64.86%1.542Mean

64.86%1.542Median

64.86%1.542IQM

64.86%1.542Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.49 under the IQM model: 64.86%

EV -3.36%Edge -2.26%Kelly -6.86%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sean Strickland (Visit)

Odds

2.7536.36%Min

2.7536.36%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.7536.36%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.14%2.846Min

35.14%2.846Max

35.14%2.846Mean

35.14%2.846Median

35.14%2.846IQM

35.14%2.846Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 35.14%

EV -3.36%Edge -1.22%Kelly -1.92%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Khamzat Chimaev (Local) ▼	Sean Strickland (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.49I 67.11% NM 64.86%EV -3.36% E -2.26% K -6.86% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 35.14%EV -3.36% E -1.22% K -1.92% G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-11 21:09
DraftKings	1.31I 76.34% NM 73.32%EV -15.04% E -11.48% K -48.50% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.68%EV +26.51% E +7.36% K +10.20% G +2.70%	4.1%	2026-02-22 17:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth