The School of Odds

Khamzat Chimaev v Sean Strickland

2027-01-01 03:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Khamzat Chimaev (Local)

Prediction 64.86%1.54fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.86%64.86%64.86%64.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.491.491.4967%67%67%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sean Strickland (Visit)

Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.14%35.14%35.14%35.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.752.752.7536%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.36%E -2.26%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-11 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.