Khamzat Chimaev v Anthony Hernandez

2026-12-31 19:30 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Khamzat Chimaev (Local)

Odds

1.2281.97%Min

1.2281.97%Mean

1.2281.97%Median

1.2281.97%Max

Consensus probabilities

78.67%1.271Min

78.67%1.271Max

78.67%1.271Mean

78.67%1.271Median

78.67%1.271IQM

78.67%1.271Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.22 under the IQM model: 78.67%

EV -4.02%Edge -3.30%Kelly -18.28%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Anthony Hernandez (Visit)

Odds

4.5022.22%Min

4.5022.22%Mean

4.5022.22%Median

4.5022.22%Max

Consensus probabilities

21.33%4.689Min

21.33%4.689Max

21.33%4.689Mean

21.33%4.689Median

21.33%4.689IQM

21.33%4.689Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.33%

EV -4.02%Edge -0.894%Kelly -1.15%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Khamzat Chimaev (Local) ▼	Anthony Hernandez (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV -4.02% E -3.30% K -18.28% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV -4.02% E -0.894% K -1.15% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-20 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth