The School of OddsKevin Holland v Jacobe Smith
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Kevin Holland (Local)
Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.0532.79%Mean
3.0532.79%Median
3.2031.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.13%3.319Min
33.03%3.028Max
31.58%3.167Mean
31.58%3.167Median
31.58%3.167IQM
31.48%3.177Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 31.58%
EV +1.05%Edge +0.328%Kelly +0.477%Growth +0.005%
Option 2: Jacobe Smith (Visit)
Odds
1.3872.46%Min
1.4071.17%Mean
1.4071.17%Median
1.4369.93%Max
Consensus probabilities
66.97%1.493Min
69.87%1.431Max
68.42%1.462Mean
68.42%1.462Median
68.42%1.462IQM
68.52%1.459Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.43 under the IQM model: 68.42%
EV -2.16%Edge -1.51%Kelly -5.02%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Kevin Holland (Local) ▼ | Jacobe Smith (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25% NM 30.13%EV +1.05% E +0.328% K +0.477% G +0.005% | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.87%EV -5.58% E -4.04% K -14.68% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 12:18 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48% NM 33.03%EV -8.42% E -2.90% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.97%EV -2.16% E -1.51% K -5.02% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Kevin Holland (Local) | Jacobe Smith (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88% NM 43.77% | 1.30I 76.92% NM 56.23% | 36.8% | 2026-07-08 13:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89% NM 30.79% | 1.41I 70.92% NM 66.38% | 33.00I 3.03% NM 2.84% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 18:24 |