Language:English
Ketlen Vieira v Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ketlen Vieira (Local)
Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -0.909%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.19%42.31%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.03%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Visit)
Prediction 57.83%1.73fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.81%57.69%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.631.6962.50%60.96%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ketlen Vieira (Local): 42.17%; Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Visit): 57.83%. For Ketlen Vieira (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.909%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.909%E -0.387%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.909%E -0.387%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.28%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 06:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 12:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 02:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.73%E -3.52%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 03:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 06:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.38% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.83% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 12:29 |