The School of Odds

Kegan Gennrich v Jose Mendez

2026-07-25 02:50 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kegan Gennrich (Local)

Prediction 73.17%1.37fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -10.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.90%73.17%73.17%73.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.301.291.3278%77%78%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jose Mendez (Visit)

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%26.83%26.83%28.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.403.303.6030%29%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.41%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-24 10:04
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 10:05
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.