The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Justin Wetzell v Sarvarjon Hamidov

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justin Wetzell (Local)

Prediction 20.47%4.88fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%20.47%20.47%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.134.004.7025.00%24.22%25.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarvarjon Hamidov (Visit)

Prediction 79.53%1.26fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.53%79.53%79.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.221.221.2482.64%81.68%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Justin Wetzell (Local): 20.47%; Sarvarjon Hamidov (Visit): 79.53%. For Sarvarjon Hamidov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.24, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.77%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.77%E -3.12%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:19
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.39%E -1.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.39%E -1.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.98%E -2.44%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.98%E -2.44%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 00:19
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.98%E -2.44%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.10%E -4.53%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.98%E -2.44%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.