Justin Gaethje v Arman Tsarukyan

2026-12-31 05:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Justin Gaethje (Local)

Odds

4.8520.62%Min

4.8520.62%Mean

4.8520.62%Median

4.8520.62%Max

Consensus probabilities

19.83%5.042Min

19.83%5.042Max

19.83%5.042Mean

19.83%5.042Median

19.83%5.042IQM

19.83%5.042Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.85 under the IQM model: 19.83%

EV -3.80%Edge -0.784%Kelly -0.987%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arman Tsarukyan (Visit)

Odds

1.2083.33%Min

1.2083.33%Mean

1.2083.33%Median

1.2083.33%Max

Consensus probabilities

80.17%1.247Min

80.17%1.247Max

80.17%1.247Mean

80.17%1.247Median

80.17%1.247IQM

80.17%1.247Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.20 under the IQM model: 80.17%

EV -3.80%Edge -3.17%Kelly -19.01%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Justin Gaethje (Local) ▼	Arman Tsarukyan (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	4.85I 20.62% NM 19.83%EV -3.80% E -0.784% K -0.987% G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33% NM 80.17%EV -3.80% E -3.17% K -19.01% G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-20 01:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth