Language:English
Julius Walker v Gerald Meerschaert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Julius Walker (Local)
Prediction 72.74%1.37fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -9.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.68%72.77%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.311.311.3382.64%76.34%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gerald Meerschaert (Visit)
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.32%27.23%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.453.7332.26%29.02%28.99%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Julius Walker (Local): 72.74%; Gerald Meerschaert (Visit): 27.26%. For Gerald Meerschaert (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -6.16%E -4.78%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +1.67%E +0.447%K +0.611%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 23:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -1.33%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.25%E -2.44%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.88%E -0.521%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.88%E -0.521%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 23:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.88%E -0.521%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.24%E -0.912%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.25%E -2.44%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.98%E -3.01%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.25%E -2.44%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.69%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.71%E -3.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.69%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.43%E -4.18%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -11.98%E -9.90%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -15.50%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.69% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 26.31% | -0.2% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.77% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |