Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.32
assuming max odds 4.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juliana Miller (Local): 73.93%; Ravena Oliveira (Visit): 26.07%. For Ravena Oliveira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +5.86%E +1.44%K +1.91%G +0.112% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.99%E +0.757%K +1.01%G +0.030% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -1.18%E -0.312%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 19:46 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -6.92%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.42%E -1.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 11:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01% | -0.1% | 2026-08-08 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.50% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.66% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:57 |
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