The School of Odds
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Joshua Van v Manel Kape

2027-01-31 05:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Joshua Van (Local)

Prediction 53.53%1.87fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.51%53.49%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.771.791.8365.36%56.61%55.71%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manel Kape (Visit)

Prediction 46.47%2.15fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.49%46.51%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.792.001.982.1055.87%50.00%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Joshua Van (Local): 53.53%; Manel Kape (Visit): 46.47%. For Joshua Van (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -2.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 21:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 19:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.46%E -4.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.64%E -2.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-12 20:53
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.64%E -2.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-12 20:48
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.64%E -2.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-12 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.17%E -2.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-13 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 05:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 03:45
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.60%E -3.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-12 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-12 20:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.85%E -3.94%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 03:19
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.92%E -4.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 02:50
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.92%E -4.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.35%E -1.61%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.92%E -4.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 20:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -9.53%E -5.64%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 13:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.86%EV -10.06%E -5.99%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -15.90%E -8.78%K -19.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-24 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.60%E -6.35%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 12:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.60%E -6.35%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 53.92%EV -18.09%E -11.83%K -34.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 46.08%EV -16.83%E -9.40%K -21.30%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-12 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.