The School of Odds

Josh Hokit v Alex Pereira

2026-12-31 05:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Josh Hokit (Local)

Prediction 59.70%1.67fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%59.70%59.70%59.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.621.621.6262%62%62%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Alex Pereira (Visit)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%40.30%40.30%40.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.402.402.4042%42%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.