The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Josh Fremd v Jhony Gregory

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Josh Fremd (Local)

Prediction 82.96%1.21fair odd
EV -0.443%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.10%82.96%84.07%84.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.111.2092.59%88.83%90.09%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jhony Gregory (Visit)

Prediction 17.04%5.87fair odd
EV +6.47%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.08%17.04%15.93%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.835.635.756.2520.70%17.75%17.39%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Josh Fremd (Local): 82.96%; Jhony Gregory (Visit): 17.04%. For Jhony Gregory (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.91%E -7.13%K -71.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +6.47%E +1.04%K +1.23%G +0.080%6.1%2026-08-08 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.39%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +3.92%E +0.642%K +0.768%G +0.030%7.3%2026-08-08 02:03
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.91%E -7.13%K -71.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -1.19%E -0.206%K -0.248%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 02:03
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.91%E -7.13%K -71.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -2.04%E -0.355%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -10.40%E -9.63%K -129.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -2.90%E -0.508%K -0.616%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 02:02
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.93%E -2.51%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.82%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -0.443%E -0.369%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -17.72%E -3.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.