The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Joseph White v Guilherme Viana

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Joseph White (Local)

Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%18.22%18.22%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.133.855.2525.97%24.21%25.97%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guilherme Viana (Visit)

Prediction 81.78%1.22fair odd
EV +0.584%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.79%81.78%81.78%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.231.2385.47%82.10%81.30%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joseph White (Local): 18.22%; Guilherme Viana (Visit): 81.78%. For Guilherme Viana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.22. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.584%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -29.84%E -7.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV +0.584%E +0.475%K +2.54%G +0.015%7.3%2026-03-26 15:45
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -29.84%E -7.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV +0.584%E +0.475%K +2.54%G +0.015%7.3%2026-03-26 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -29.84%E -7.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV +0.584%E +0.475%K +2.54%G +0.015%7.3%2026-03-26 15:50
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -29.84%E -7.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV +0.584%E +0.475%K +2.54%G +0.015%7.3%2026-03-26 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.32%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.32%E -3.69%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.