Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jose Delano v Robert Ruchala

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jose Delano (Local)

Prediction 67.23%1.49fair odd

EV +2.86%

Edge +1.87%

Kelly +5.39%

Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.03%67.16%67.06%73.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.271.401.401.5378.74%71.22%71.43%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Robert Ruchala (Visit)

Prediction 32.77%3.05fair odd

EV +14.70%

Edge +4.20%

Kelly +5.88%

Growth +0.865%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.78%32.84%32.94%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.882.813.5040.00%34.72%35.52%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jose Delano (Local): 67.23%; Robert Ruchala (Visit): 32.77%. For Robert Ruchala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -13.95%E -10.90%K -49.82%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +14.70%E +4.20%K +5.88%G +0.865%	6.7%	2026-04-05 00:25
TABtouch🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -13.95%E -10.90%K -49.82%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV +9.79%E +2.92%K +4.16%G +0.408%	8.0%	2026-04-05 00:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -14.62%E -11.51%K -54.15%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV +9.79%E +2.92%K +4.16%G +0.408%	8.6%	2026-04-05 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -11.93%E -9.11%K -38.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +6.51%E +2.00%K +2.89%G +0.188%	7.1%	2026-04-05 00:20
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.91%E -7.40%K -29.16%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.87%E +1.52%K +2.21%G +0.108%	5.9%	2026-04-05 00:24
Caesars🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.59%E -7.96%K -32.08%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +4.87%E +1.52%K +2.21%G +0.108%	6.4%	2026-04-05 00:24
Coolbet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.21%E -3.69%K -12.70%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.03%E -0.340%K -0.509%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-04 20:09
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.57%E -6.30%K -23.81%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.68%E -0.561%K -0.841%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-05 00:19
BetRivers🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.32%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-04 21:09
Svenska Spel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.57%E -6.30%K -23.81%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.32%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-05 00:24
betPARX🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.57%E -6.30%K -23.81%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.32%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-05 00:24
TAB🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.02%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-05 00:24
Fliff🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.90%E -5.77%K -21.35%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-05 00:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -1.85%E -1.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-04-05 00:09
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-05 00:09
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-04 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.57%E -6.30%K -23.81%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-04-05 00:24
SportsBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.25%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-04 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.52%E -1.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-05 00:04
Neds🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.52%E -1.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.19%E -2.22%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-05 00:00
PlayUp🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.19%E -2.22%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-04 23:40
Bet Right🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.19%E -2.22%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-05 00:17
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.21%E -3.69%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-05 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.21%E -3.69%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-05 00:24
LeoVegas🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.24%E -6.85%K -26.41%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-04-05 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV +0.169%E +0.114%K +0.345%G +0.001%	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-04-05 00:16
BetAnything🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.19%E -2.22%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-04 23:15
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-05 00:24
Bovada🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.19%E -2.22%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-05 00:23
Grosvenor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-05 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.88%E -4.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-05 00:24
BetUS🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV +1.51%E +1.00%K +2.97%G +0.045%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -14.14%E -5.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-05 00:17
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +2.86%E +1.87%K +5.39%G +0.154%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -18.07%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-05 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +2.86%E +1.87%K +5.39%G +0.154%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -18.07%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-05 00:24
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +2.19%E +1.44%K +4.20%G +0.092%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -18.07%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-05 00:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%	3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%	-0.2%	2026-04-05 00:08
Kalshi◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%	1.1%	2026-04-05 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%	2.7%	2026-04-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%	2.8%	2026-04-05 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%	3.5%	2026-04-05 00:25
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 77.88%	3.52I 28.41%NM 22.12%	28.4%	2026-04-05 00:25