The School of Odds

Johnny Eblen v Impa Kasanganay

2026-07-18 22:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Johnny Eblen (Local)

Prediction 76.92%1.30fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -6.41%
Kelly -38.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%76.92%76.92%76.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.201.201.2083%83%83%83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Impa Kasanganay (Visit)

Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.08%23.08%23.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.004.004.0025%25%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-14 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.