Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Johnny Eblen v Bryan Battle

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 04:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Johnny Eblen (Local)

Prediction 76.99%1.30fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -15.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.73%76.99%76.78%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.251.251.2580.65%80.27%80.00%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bryan Battle (Visit)

Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%23.01%23.22%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.903.963.904.2525.64%25.24%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Johnny Eblen (Local): 76.99%; Bryan Battle (Visit): 23.01%. For Bryan Battle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:49
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.21%E -0.520%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.66%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 04:44
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.66%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 19:24
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.26%E -2.63%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.