Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Joanderson Brito v Jordan Leavitt

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Joanderson Brito (Local)

Prediction 60.57%1.65fair odd

EV -1.87%

Edge -1.16%

Kelly -3.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.14%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.571.561.6265.36%63.72%63.90%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jordan Leavitt (Visit)

Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd

EV +0.543%

Edge +0.213%

Kelly +0.350%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%39.31%39.55%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.14%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joanderson Brito (Local): 60.57%; Jordan Leavitt (Visit): 39.43%. For Jordan Leavitt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.543%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Neds🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.543%E +0.213%K +0.350%G +0.002%	4.6%	2026-06-04 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.543%E +0.213%K +0.350%G +0.002%	4.6%	2026-06-04 23:39
NordicBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.952%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-04 20:39
Betsson🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.952%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-04 20:39
Coolbet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.952%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-05 19:19
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.952%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-06 09:40
TAB🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.43%E -0.571%K -0.952%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-05 22:59
Bovada🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-06 20:17
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-06 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-06 05:29
Grosvenor🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
LeoVegas🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
Virgin Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
TABtouch🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
Unibet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-06 05:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.87%E -1.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-06-06 20:30
BetUS🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.69%E -2.32%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-06 13:30
BetAnything🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-06 20:19
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-06 21:49
DraftKings🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-06 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-06 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-06 16:10
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-06 16:09
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-06 20:10
SportsBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-06 21:49
Bet Right🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-06 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-06 20:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.87%E -1.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-06 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.87%E -1.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-06 21:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%	2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%	-0.2%	2026-06-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-06-06 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-06-06 21:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-06-06 21:19
Matchbook◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-06-06 21:19
Novig◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%	2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%	0.6%	2026-06-06 21:50
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-06-06 21:49
ProphetX◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%	1.7%	2026-06-06 21:49

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%	8.2%	2026-06-06 13:30