Language:English
J.J. Aldrich v Regina Tarin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
J.J. Aldrich (Local)
Prediction 28.47%3.51fair odd
EV -0.059%
Edge -0.017%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.61%28.34%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.97%29.85%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Regina Tarin (Visit)
Prediction 71.53%1.40fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.39%71.66%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.331.331.3681.97%75.15%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: J.J. Aldrich (Local): 28.47%; Regina Tarin (Visit): 71.53%. For J.J. Aldrich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.512. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.510, with an expected value of -0.059%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -0.059%E -0.017%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -4.15%E -3.10%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.343%E -0.098%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.77%E -0.512%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.77%E -0.512%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.62%E -0.766%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.15%E -3.10%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.15%E -3.10%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 00:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.58%E -4.23%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.19%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.30%E -4.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.44%E -2.55%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -5.47%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.72%E -2.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -5.47%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.72%E -2.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.04%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.72%E -2.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.04%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.04%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.44%E -2.55%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.44%E -2.55%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.46%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.87%E -3.66%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.72%E -2.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.91%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -12.74%E -10.44%K -57.90%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.66I 27.32%NM 27.38% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.62% | -0.2% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.44% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.85% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.71% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |