Language:English
Jim Miller v Jared Gordon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jim Miller (Local)
Prediction 29.61%3.38fair odd
EV +0.680%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.283%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.68%29.50%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.43%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jared Gordon (Visit)
Prediction 70.39%1.42fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.32%70.50%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.361.361.3876.34%73.70%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jim Miller (Local): 29.61%; Jared Gordon (Visit): 70.39%. For Jim Miller (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.680%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.680%E +0.200%K +0.283%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.801%E -0.239%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 23:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.691%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.691%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 05:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.691%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.691%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -2.87%E -0.876%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.86%E -2.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.72%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -7.02%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.68%E -3.18%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.19% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.81% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.09% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.63% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |