Jesus Pinedo v Levy Saul Marroquin

2026-07-18 22:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jesus Pinedo (Local)

Prediction 78.67%1.27fair odd

EV -3.23%

Edge -2.63%

Kelly -14.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.79%78.67%78.67%78.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.221.231.231.2382%81%81%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Levy Saul Marroquin (Visit)

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd

EV -4.02%

Edge -0.894%

Kelly -1.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.33%21.33%21.33%24.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.013.854.5026%25%26%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bally Bet	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.23%E -2.63%K -14.06%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.88%E -4.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-16 07:10
Unibet	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.23%E -2.63%K -14.06%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.88%E -4.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-16 07:14
Grosvenor	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.23%E -2.63%K -14.06%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.88%E -4.65%K -6.28%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-16 07:15
BetOnline.ag	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-16 07:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.