Language:English
Jeongyoung Lee v Gaston Bolanos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jeongyoung Lee (Local)
Prediction 73.93%1.35fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.84%73.99%73.89%75.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3678.74%77.22%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gaston Bolanos (Visit)
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV +0.383%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%26.01%26.11%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.613.653.8531.75%27.66%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeongyoung Lee (Local): 73.93%; Gaston Bolanos (Visit): 26.07%. For Jeongyoung Lee (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV +0.540%E +0.397%K +1.50%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -17.87%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV +0.540%E +0.397%K +1.50%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -17.87%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -2.75%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.53%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.53%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.921%E -0.242%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.22%E -0.593%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.383%E +0.099%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.383%E +0.099%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19% | -0.2% | 2026-03-07 03:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 04:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 43.83% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 56.17% | 72.8% | 2026-03-07 04:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.89% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.27% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 04:55 |