Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jean Silva v Yair Rodriguez

2026-09-13 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jean Silva (Local)

Prediction 69.36%1.44fair odd

EV -4.29%

Edge -3.11%

Kelly -11.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.91%69.36%69.36%69.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.361.361.3874.63%73.53%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yair Rodriguez (Visit)

Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd

EV -2.25%

Edge -0.704%

Kelly -1.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.20%30.64%30.64%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.973.083.083.1933.67%32.47%32.47%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jean Silva (Local): 69.36%; Yair Rodriguez (Visit): 30.64%. For Yair Rodriguez (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.19, with an expected value of -2.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.03%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)	1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.77%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -8.99%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 21:43

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.