Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jean Silva v Jose Delgado

2026-09-12 23:45 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jean Silva (Local)

Prediction 77.57%1.29fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -12.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.56%77.49%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.231.231.2587.72%81.52%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jose Delgado (Visit)

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.44%22.51%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.204.4027.03%24.09%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jean Silva (Local): 77.57%; Jose Delgado (Visit): 22.43%. For Jose Delgado (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.40, with an expected value of -1.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.03%E -2.43%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.90%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:35
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.03%E -2.43%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.90%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.57%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 17:34
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.57%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.69%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 20:55
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 20:32
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.30%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.90%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -2.00%E -0.457%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 02:20
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -4.24%E -0.993%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.69%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:15
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.69%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.69%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 22:45
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:34
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.05%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.58%E -3.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -9.18%E -2.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 22:45
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.33%E -0.301%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.33%E -0.301%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.33%E -0.301%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.33%E -0.301%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.90%E -0.669%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 02:25
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 02:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.36%E -4.39%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.14%E -5.07%K -29.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.30%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.69%E -6.46%K -40.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.45%EV -11.57%E -10.15%K -82.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -17.02%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.66%4.68I 21.37%NM 21.34%0.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-09-09 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-09-09 06:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-09-09 05:59
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-09-09 15:55
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-09-09 16:25
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%5.7%2026-09-08 17:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.15%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87%7.0%2026-09-07 07:09