Language:English
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani v Philip Rowe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Local)
Prediction 65.52%1.53fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.51%65.68%67.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5069.93%68.00%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philip Rowe (Visit)
Prediction 34.48%2.90fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.582%
Kelly +0.880%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.65%34.49%34.32%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.712.702.9538.17%36.85%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Local): 65.52%; Philip Rowe (Visit): 34.48%. For Philip Rowe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.31%E -4.41%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.72%E +0.582%K +0.880%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 22:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.697%E -0.242%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.73%E -0.608%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.77%E -0.981%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-20 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.03%E -2.05%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 19:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-20 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 09:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.72%E -1.15%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.63%E -3.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.72%E -1.15%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.32%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.72%E -1.15%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.74% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 33.26% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.29% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.71% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.02% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |