Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Jasudavicius (Local): 73.57%; Karine Silva (Visit): 26.43%. For Karine Silva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.30%E -5.80%K -28.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +5.73%E +1.43%K +1.91%G +0.109% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV +3.62%E +0.922%K +1.24%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.83%E -4.56%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +3.09%E +0.791%K +1.06%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.83%E -4.56%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.443%E +0.117%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 00:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.57%E -5.17%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.443%E +0.117%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.30%E -5.80%K -28.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.443%E +0.117%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.878%E -0.234%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.878%E -0.234%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -1.41%E -0.377%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 00:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.89%E -2.19%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.52%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.63%E -2.77%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.89%E -2.19%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 01:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.63%E -2.77%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.63%E -2.77%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.10%E -3.95%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -1.42%E -1.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 03:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.83%E -4.56%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.16%E -1.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.16%E -1.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.16%E -1.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.36%E -3.36%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.28% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.72% | -0.1% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.72% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.28% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.29% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 1.94% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |