The School of Odds

Jared Cannonier v Christian Leroy Duncan

2026-07-18 21:00 — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Jared Cannonier (Local)

3.4528.99%Min
3.4828.78%Mean
3.4828.78%Median
3.5028.57%Max
27.54%3.632Min
27.82%3.594Max
27.68%3.613Mean
27.68%3.613Median
27.68%3.613IQM
27.67%3.613Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.68%

EV -3.12%Edge -0.891%Kelly -1.25%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)

1.3375.19%Min
1.3375.19%Mean
1.3375.19%Median
1.3375.19%Max
72.18%1.386Min
72.46%1.380Max
72.32%1.383Mean
72.32%1.383Median
72.32%1.383IQM
72.33%1.383Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.33 under the IQM model: 72.32%

EV -3.81%Edge -2.87%Kelly -11.56%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJared Cannonier (Local) ▼Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57% NM 27.54%EV -3.12% E -0.891% K -1.25% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 72.46%EV -3.81% E -2.87% K -11.56% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 01:18
DraftKings3.45I 28.99% NM 27.82%EV -4.50% E -1.31% K -1.84% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 72.18%EV -3.81% E -2.87% K -11.56% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerJared Cannonier (Local)Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket3.12I 32.05% NM 29.89%1.33I 75.19% NM 70.11%7.2%2026-07-08 18:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet3.51I 28.49% NM 26.56%1.32I 75.76% NM 70.62%33.00I 3.03% NM 2.82%7.3%2026-07-08 03:03