Language:English
Jared Cannonier v Christian Leroy Duncan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jared Cannonier (Local)
Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV +10.01%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +3.18%
Growth +0.318%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%26.19%26.68%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.693.604.1530.77%27.07%27.78%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)
Prediction 73.49%1.36fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.81%73.32%76.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3380.65%77.83%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +10.01%E +2.41%K +3.18%G +0.318% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -8.13%E -6.51%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:30 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +10.01%E +2.41%K +3.18%G +0.318% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -8.13%E -6.51%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +8.68%E +2.12%K +2.80%G +0.243% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.87%E -7.15%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 01:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +6.03%E +1.51%K +2.01%G +0.121% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.13%E -6.51%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 07:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +3.38%E +0.866%K +1.17%G +0.039% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.40%E -5.87%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.728%E +0.192%K +0.260%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.19%E -4.03%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-15 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.597%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.66%E -5.25%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 00:57 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.25%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.66%E -5.25%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| BetUS | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -3.51%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54%EV -3.72%E -2.84%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 01:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.72%E -2.84%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.46%E -3.43%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 00:46 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.19%E -4.03%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 00:35 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.93%E -4.63%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.13%E -6.51%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 19:26 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -2.99%E -2.27%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-19 00:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.10%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.25%E -1.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 01:40 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.99%E -2.27%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.46%E -3.43%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.69%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.46%E -3.43%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 01:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.99%E -2.27%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.99%E -2.27%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.72%E -2.84%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.46%E -3.43%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.99%E -2.27%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.72%E -2.84%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.25%E -1.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 01:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.25%E -1.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.66%E -5.25%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.36% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.64% | -0.2% | 2026-07-19 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-07-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| Polymarket | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| Novig | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 01:45 |
| ProphetX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 01:54 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.42% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.31% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 01:35 |