Language:English
Jamie Siraj v John Yannis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jamie Siraj (Local)
Prediction 68.85%1.45fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.84%68.83%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.381.4374.63%72.41%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
John Yannis (Visit)
Prediction 31.15%3.21fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%31.16%31.17%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.053.3536.36%32.61%32.79%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamie Siraj (Local): 68.85%; John Yannis (Visit): 31.15%. For John Yannis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +4.36%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +4.36%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.081% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.312%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -1.25%E -0.393%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.30%E -3.09%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.80%E -0.899%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 21:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 20:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 21:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -8.41%E -2.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.67% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 21:02 |