Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jamey-Lyn Horth v J.J. Aldrich

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jamey-Lyn Horth (Local)

Prediction 61.70%1.62fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +4.52%
Growth +0.137%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%61.26%61.56%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.561.6765.36%63.89%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

J.J. Aldrich (Visit)

Prediction 38.30%2.61fair odd
EV -0.408%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.74%38.44%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.422.6045.45%40.95%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamey-Lyn Horth (Local): 61.70%; J.J. Aldrich (Visit): 38.30%. For Jamey-Lyn Horth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.03%E +1.82%K +4.52%G +0.137%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -0.053%E -0.033%K -0.086%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -9.22%E -3.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 01:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.053%E -0.033%K -0.086%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 08:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 04:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:09
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:10
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 21:10
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:10
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:09
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.84%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.84%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 21:10
TAB🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.17%E -0.455%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-18 21:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.911%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 12:29
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.408%E -0.157%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.32%E -0.911%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 21:04
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.32%E -0.911%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.32%E -0.911%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 21:30
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.71%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.71%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 21:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.408%E -0.157%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 18:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-04-18 21:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-04-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-04-18 21:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-18 21:40
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-18 21:50
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-04-18 21:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.04%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.56%8.6%2026-04-18 21:40