Language:English
Jamall Emmers v Lerryan Douglas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jamall Emmers (Local)
Prediction 23.67%4.22fair odd
EV -0.591%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.185%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.66%23.77%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.973.954.2027.78%25.19%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lerryan Douglas (Visit)
Prediction 76.33%1.31fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -11.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.49%76.34%76.23%77.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2783.33%80.00%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamall Emmers (Local): 23.67%; Lerryan Douglas (Visit): 76.33%. For Jamall Emmers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.591%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.591%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 23:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.591%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.591%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -1.30%E -0.312%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.06%E -2.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-22 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.77%E -0.428%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.77%E -0.428%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.77%E -0.428%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.96%E -0.722%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.14%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.06%E -2.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.06%E -2.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 23:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -3.06%E -2.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.06%E -2.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 03:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.61%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.40%E -7.00%K -42.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 05:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.69% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.31% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.22% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.94% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 22:44 |