Language:English
Jalin Turner v Kauê Fernandes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jalin Turner (Local)
Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.31%51.09%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.28%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kauê Fernandes (Visit)
Prediction 48.69%2.05fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.613%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%48.69%48.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.942.0855.56%51.30%51.55%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jalin Turner (Local): 51.31%; Kauê Fernandes (Visit): 48.69%. For Kauê Fernandes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.27%E +0.613%K +1.18%G +0.015% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV +0.301%E +0.146%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.67%E -4.87%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.186%E -0.091%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -0.673%E -0.330%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.673%E -0.330%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.16%E -0.571%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.65%E -0.815%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.51%E -1.32%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 02:12 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 02:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.05%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.51%E -1.32%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.49%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.54%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.98%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 02:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.95%E -4.79%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.95%E -4.79%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -9.44%E -5.07%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.36%E -6.87%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 02:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.88% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 00:30 |